Table 1. Timing and magnitude of physician shortages based on assumed increases in medical school admission quotas

Admission quota (assumption) Year of greatest physician shortage Magnitude of shortage (number of physicians)
Maintain current quota 2050 26,570
250 2048 22,237
500 2048 18,059
750 2046 14,018
1,000 2046 10,231
1,250 2046 6,445
1,500 2043 3,035